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Will Turkey, Dubai, India and Pakistan be removed from the red list? What to expect in the next travel update

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Transport Secretary Grant Shapps has confirmed that fully vaccinated people will be able to travel to Amber List countries without having to self-quarantine upon return.

The change will take effect from July 19 – on the same day all remaining lockdown restrictions are expected to be lifted in England.

This will essentially make the Amber List countries green for the double shot. Anyone who received their second jab at least 14 days ago will be able to avoid quarantine, although everyone will still need to take a Covid PCR test no later than the second day of their return to the UK.

Most countries around the world are currently on the Amber List, including popular destinations like Spain, France, Italy and Greece.

And there are a number of countries on the Red List that may turn orange in the next travel review, and therefore become accessible.

When is the next traffic light review?

The government reviews the traffic light system every three weeks.

This means that the next announcement should take place on Thursday, July 15, and any changes will take effect the following week.

The Department for Transport said: “These regular review points will allow the government to balance helping the public understand Covid requirements while traveling to England while allowing us to continuously assess the risk for different countries.”

How the traffic light system works

The lists are decided on the basis of the following criteria:

  • The percentage of a country’s population that has been vaccinated
  • The infection rate
  • The prevalence of worrisome variants
  • The country’s access to reliable scientific data and genomic sequencing

Here are the rules for each traffic light system listing:

  • Green: Arrivals will be required to undergo a pre-departure test as well as a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test by the second day of their return to the UK at the latest – but will not need to self-quarantine at their home. return (unless they receive a positive result) or take additional testing
  • Amber: Arrivals will need to be quarantined for a period of 10 days and pass a pre-departure test, as well as a PCR test on the second and eighth day. There will be the option to take an additional test on the fifth day to end self-isolation earlier
  • Red: Arrivals will be subject to the restrictions currently in place for ‘red list’ countries which include a 10-day stay in a managed quarantine hotel, pre-departure testing, and mandatory PCR testing on days two and eight.

The government has told people not to travel to countries not on the “green list” except for essential reasons.

PCR tests should be booked through one of the government approved suppliers.

The government has been looking for ways to lower the price of testing, with PCR testing typically costing around £ 120 to £ 160, while some travel providers have heavily subsidized the costs.

Here are some of the most popular Red List destinations and their chances of being Amber Listed on the next review.

turkey

Turkey recorded 5,160 new infections on Wednesday July 7 – well below the highs of more than 60,000 recorded in April.

Its seven-day infection rate is 41 per 100,000 people, which is significantly lower than the UK rate of 273.

It has administered over 55 million doses of the vaccine and about 20% of the adult population is fully vaccinated.

This data gives Turkey a chance to be added to the Amber List in the next travel advisory.

India

India has been successful in controlling the virus since the Delta variant ravaged the country in May, causing more than 400,000 infections a day.

As of July 7, it registered 45,892 new cases and its seven-day rate is 21 per 100,000 people.

However, less than 5% of adults have received both doses of the vaccine, making an amber list move unlikely at this time.

Pakistan

Pakistan recorded 1,626 new infections on July 7, but cases have increased slightly in recent weeks.

However, its seven-day infection rate remains very low – at just three per 100,000 people.

It was added to the Red List due to its proximity to India and the spread of the Delta variant.

Case numbers suggest Pakistan should be back on the Amber List. However, less than 2% of the country is fully vaccinated, which means it could stay red.

United Arab Emirates

The United Arab Emirates, home to Dubai, recorded 1,513 new infections on July 7.

Its seven-day infection rate is 114 per 100,000 people, however, nearly two-thirds of the adult population have received both doses of the vaccine.

This gives the UAE a chance to be added to the Amber List.

South Africa

Cases in South Africa increased throughout the month and recorded 21,427 new infections on July 7.

Its seven-day infection rate is 236 per 100,000 and less than one percent of the population is fully vaccinated, meaning South Africa is almost certain to remain on the red list.


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