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Which countries could be on the red list? Orange List destinations that may change in the next travel update

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Britons who are doubly vaccinated will be able to travel without quarantine to Orange List countries – but which countries will remain orange is unclear.

The switch to vaccinated travel will take place from July 19 – on the same day all remaining lockdown restrictions are expected to be lifted in England.

Speaking in the House of Commons on Thursday, Transport Secretary Grant Shapps warned that “an Amber List country could turn red again.”

“As many of us know from personal travel experience, the government will not hesitate to act when necessary and the data suggests it must happen,” Shapps said.

“In other words, to record this, an Amber List country could still turn red, which would require a change in behavior upon our return to the UK, and even if a country goes red, a mandatory hotel quarantine. . “

Popular destinations such as Spain and France are seeing the number of cases increase, but with some fairly successful vaccination campaigns underway, it is not certain that they will turn red.

When is the next traffic light review?

The government reviews the traffic light system every three weeks.

This means that the next announcement should take place on Thursday, July 15, and any changes will take effect the following week.

The Department for Transport said: “These regular review points will allow the government to balance helping the public understand Covid requirements while traveling to England while allowing us to continuously assess the risk for different countries.”

How the traffic light system works

The lists are decided on the basis of the following criteria:

  • The percentage of a country’s population that has been vaccinated
  • The infection rate
  • The prevalence of worrisome variants
  • The country’s access to reliable scientific data and genomic sequencing

Here are the rules for each traffic light system listing:

  • Green: Arrivals will be required to take a pre-departure test as well as a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test no later than the second day of their return to the UK – but will not need to self-quarantine at their home. return (unless they receive a positive result) or take additional testing
  • Amber: Arrivals will need to be quarantined for a period of 10 days and pass a pre-departure test, as well as a PCR test on the second and eighth day. There will be the option to take an additional test on the fifth day to end self-isolation earlier
  • Red: Arrivals will be subject to the restrictions currently in place for ‘red list’ countries which include a 10-day stay in a managed quarantine hotel, pre-departure testing, and mandatory PCR testing on days two and eight.

The government has told people not to travel to countries not on the “green list” except for essential reasons.

PCR tests should be booked through one of the government approved suppliers.

The government has been looking for ways to lower the price of testing, with PCR testing typically costing around £ 120 to £ 160, while some travel providers have heavily subsidized the costs.

Which countries could go from orange to red?

Cases are increasing in Spain, with 13,429 new infections reported on average every day, according to data from Reuters shows. This is 37% of the country’s maximum infection rate.

But with 45,924,484 doses of Covid vaccines administered so far – equivalent to 48.8% of the population – vaccinations are moving at a steady pace, meaning there’s a good chance that ‘it remains amber. The country appears to be medium risk compared to other popular destinations.

France appears to have a very low risk of turning red, with just 3,020 new infections on average each day – 6% of the peak.

Italy is also at low risk, with just 902 new infections on average each day – 3% of the peak.

Russia is at significant risk of turning red, with cases again nearing the peak of its pandemic. The country is now reporting 24,187 new infections on average every day – 84% of the December 26 peak,

The country’s immunization figures are not particularly high, with 45,570,931 doses administered to date – about enough to have fully immunized 15.8% of the country’s population.

Infections are increasing further in Greece, with 1,405 new cases reported on average per day, or 46% of the peak.

As in Spain, vaccinations are at a decent level, with 9,050,766 doses administered to date, which is equivalent to fully immunizing 42.2% of the country’s population. The country seems safe from the blush.

Infections in Belarus have been on the rise for 10 days, and with just 1,068,413 doses of the Covid vaccine administered so far – equivalent to 5.6% of the fully vaccinated population – the country could be at risk of turning red.

At present, 906 cases are reported on average per day, or 47% of Belarus’ peak.

South Korea is also at risk of turning red, as it reports its highest number of new infections since the start of the pandemic with 1,200. It has so far administered at least 20,039,176 doses of Covid vaccines, which equivalent to 19.4% of the country’s population vaccinated against the virus.


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