Updated at 8:15 a.m. Eastern Time
Tropical Depression Karl dissipated on the Gulf Coast of southern Mexico. Heavy rains will continue, however, with the possibility of flooding and mudslides in higher elevations as what remains of the system slowly moves westward.
Otherwise, the Atlantic is free of tropical systems that appear to have potential for development until at least the middle of next week.
Hurricane season is likely over for the Gulf and East Coasts of the United States, with a focus on Most likely. A fall/winter weather pattern is expected to strengthen next week, creating an atmospheric environment hostile to tropical systems.
Long-range computer models indicate that a northeast-like system could eventually develop as the next cold front moves off the southeast coast, but this would be a non-tropical development.
Towards the end of the season, sometimes a strange system develops and turns into a tropical threat, but there is no sign of that, at least this month.
In terms of adding to the list of named storms, it’s still possible. The water in much of the Atlantic is still warm, as it is in the Caribbean and the southern Gulf. So far, we’ve seen 11 named storms form this season. Chances are we’ll add one or two to this list from systems away from the United States before cold air and hostile winds take over.
Enjoy the fall weather!